Manning's status no longer in doubt
Football Betting Lines
02/02/2012 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Listen to a presidential campaign long enough and you're
bound to hear the phrase: Are you better off than you were four years ago?
But while Democrats, Republicans, Independents and Anarchists might come up
with four different answers in 2012, chances are the fans of the New York Giants will be unanimous in their response.
Without a doubt...yes.
Back then, as their 2007 team -- playoff-worthy via the Wild Card route and NFC
Super Bowl representatives thanks to three straight postseason road wins --
headed into an Arizona showdown with the history-primed New England Patriots,
most would've been happy with something short of an all-time rout by the
Giants' then-undefeated opponent.
Instead, thanks in large part to the heroics of a previously underappreciated
quarterback, Big Blue emerged with a 17-14 victory in Super Bowl XLII in what
will long stand as one of the NFL's most improbable upsets.
Fast forward to this week, and the Giants again find themselves on familiar
turf.
Forgotten entries into the NFC playoffs, winners of three straight January
games -- including two on the road against the conference's No. 1 and 2 seeds
-- and again on their way to a championship chance against a New England team
positioned as at least a three-point favorite in most circles.
But in spite of the odds, the fans of the football Giants aren't just hoping to
show up this time. They're expecting to win.
The reason? It's simple.
The quarterback.
While he still travels in a prodigious shadow cast by his older brother and
lines up for New York's Super Bowl XLVI clash across from two-time league MVP
and supermodel-magnet Tom Brady, Eli Manning has taken a prodigious leap in
status since first dipping his toe in the elite waters back in Arizona in
February of 2008.
"He's been able to stand in there and make the most difficult plays," Giants
head coach Tom Coughlin said. "He's literally taken this team on his
shoulders."
Though this year's Giants were a game worse in the standings then the 2007
version, a more-polished Manning was significantly better than his first Super
Bowl season by nearly every measure, increasing his totals for completions (359
to 297), completion percentage (61.0 to 56.1), passing yards (4,933 to 3,336)
and touchdown passes (29 to 23).
Not to mention the jump in public perception from a boyish "Gilligan" to "Cool
Hand Luke."
"This is a significant moment for Eli and how he will be perceived," said Hall
of Fame quarterback Troy Aikman, who won three Super Bowls in 12 NFL seasons
with the Dallas Cowboys. "If Eli were to win Sunday, he is no longer Peyton
Manning's little brother. It elevates him to a higher status. Not saying he
would be regarded as better than Peyton. But if someone wants to make the
argument, at least he has provided them with ammunition."
There weren't many who held Manning in such praise following a trying rookie
season in 2004.
Widely reviled after a draft-day stubbornness moved him from San Diego to New
York, that year's No. 1 overall pick was an awkward work in progress as a
seven-start successor to Kurt Warner, winning just once while completing less
than half of 197 passes and throwing nine interceptions to just six touchdowns.
Manning successfully nudged both ratios past the 50-50 mark in the subsequent
three full seasons, but was still viewed solely as a pretender to the Manning
name -- and the NFL penthouse -- until orchestrating that final drive against
the Pats that included a desperation fling to David Tyree and a precise fade to
Plaxico Burress.
Nonetheless, he was still chastised during this year's preseason for claiming
he was an elite quarterback in the same class of Brady.
"I thought I gave an honest answer," Manning said about the unforeseen
controversy over his remarks. "I didn't regret it at the time or think
anything of it at the time."
These days, it seems no one's arguing. In fact, the chatter has turned from
whether Manning's elite to whether he's now Canton-worthy.
Of the eight non-active passers who've won at least two Super Bowl titles,
seven are in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, including names like Starr,
Bradshaw, Staubach, Montana, Aikman and Elway.
Just two active quarterbacks have won at least two titles: Brady and
Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger.
"The second [Super Bowl win] validates the first one," said Bob Griese, who led
the Miami Dolphins to two titles in the 1970's. "It probably helped me get into
the Hall of Fame. Lots of guys win one."
The only exception to the dual Super-winning rule is Jim Plunkett, who guided
the Raiders to a pair of championships between 1980-83 but has not been elected
to the Hall of Fame.
"At Thanksgiving or Christmas, Eli probably would like to be able to say to
Peyton, 'You might have been a great quarterback, but how many Super Bowls did
you win?, Staubach said. "'I'm sure it would be very meaningful to him."
For his part, the younger Manning claims no such familial envy.
In fact, when asked this week about the suddenly iffy career status of brother
Peyton, who missed the entire 2011 season with the Indianapolis Colts after
neck surgery, he was nothing but complimentary.
"Peyton has had an unbelievable career and in my opinion is the best I've ever
seen play football," Eli Manning said. "My goal is to get to his level of play.
That's something I've worked on.
"I am five years younger than Peyton, but growing up we would always compete.
When I got a little bit older, 15 or 16 years old, we could finally start being
on the same level and compete in playing basketball, ping-pong or pool.
Competition is a great thing. It brings out the best in people. It does make
you work harder, to try to get to that level where you can compete with your
older brother."
As for winning a career-defining game in big brother's home stadium, as Super
Bowl XLVI will be held in Indianapolis, Manning claims it's a non-factor.
"I'm excited about being here," he said. "My mindset is I'm here to play a
game. This is just a Super Bowl venue. I'm not looking at the fact that this is
where Peyton has played his career. I'm just trying to go out there and play my
best football and try to get a championship for the New York Giants."
<< Indians avoid arbitration with Perez
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cleveland Indians avoided arbitration
with reliever Rafael Perez on Thursday, signing him to a one-year deal.
Terms were not disclosed, but the Cleveland Plain Dealer reported the deal to
be worth $2
<< Nationals beat Lannan in arbitration
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Washington Nationals have reportedly won
their salary arbitration case against pitcher John Lannan.
According to the Washington Times, Lannan will earn the team's offer of $5
million for 2012 inste
<< New England acquires Colombia forward Moreno
Foxborough, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Revolution acquired Colombia
forward Jose Moreno on loan from Colombian power Once Caldas on Thursday.
The 30-year-old Moreno has played in Colombia, Ukraine, Argentina, Romania and
Peru duri
<< Mast wins European Senior Q School
Lagoa, Portugal (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - American Dick Mast posted a four-under 67
on Thursday to earn the victory in the Finals of European Senior Tour
Qualifying School.
Mast, the only player to shoot four rounds in the 60s, finishe
<< Melo cleared to return for Syracuse
Syracuse, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Syracuse center Fab Melo has been reinstated
by the university and will return to the court Saturday after missing three
games.
The school didn't disclose why Melo was forced to sit, citing federal stude
Giants' Coughlin still whistling past the critics >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Some of the NFL's greatest coaches were unmistakable in
presence.
Hear a gruff voice while watching a 1960's era NFL Films marathon: It's Green
Bays Vince Lombardi. See the outline of a hat atop an angular and
expressionl
Tottenham signs defender Nelsen >>
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tottenham signed defender Ryan Nelsen after
he was released from Blackburn, the Premier League club announced Thursday.
Nelsen, 34, captained New Zealand at the 2010 World Cup. Blackburn terminated
his con
Fordham signs 15 for Moorhead's first class >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fordham University football coach Joe Moorhead
announced the 15 members of his first recruiting class on Thursday, one day
after the national signing period began.
It is the Rams' third recruiting class since
Vancouver's Hodgson named top rookie for January >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Vancouver Canucks center Cory Hodgson has been
selected as the NHL's top rookie for the month of January.
Hodgson scored six goals and assisted on four others, leading all rookies last
month with 10 points,
Alabama A&M to wrap up 2012 regular season at Auburn >>
Huntsville, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alabama A&M football will stay in state for
seven of its 11 games in 2012, including a trip to Auburn in what is the
Bulldogs' first game against a Southeastern Conference program.
A&M, coming off an
Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends
We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS. Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned. For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go. As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190). Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet. For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later. Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick. Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com
New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times.
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season.
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers
In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS.
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”. With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit. Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.
About MySportsbook.com MySportsbook.com is the largest sportsbook and casino on the planet, where millions of adult Americans bet on sports, play poker and enjoy blackjack and other casino games online in a regulated and licensed jurisdiction. Named the "Best US Sports Book" by the industry's top magazine, eGaming Review, MySportsbook.com has been leading the online gaming industry since 1996. Dwarfing its nearest competitors in the US, MySportsbook.com has been the first to achieve every significant industry milestone, from record turnover to active users to number of bets--achieving a peak of fifteen bets per second. As the US online gaming leader, the firm and it's products have been featured on CBS 60 Minutes, CNN, ESPN, Wall Street Journal, Barrons, Financial Times, USA Today and in every major newspaper in the US.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your basketball sportsbook needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million
Football Betting
In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
NFL Betting Lines
To visit this sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your college football betting needs.
|